Biden extends polling lead over 2020 Democrat rivals to widest margin in six months

The Independent Politics 3 weeks ago

Joe Biden is leading by his widest-set margin among Democratic presidential contenders since his campaign's launch in April, according to a new poll from CNN.

More than 35 per cent of Democrat and Democrat-leaning voters support the former vice president, compared to other frontrunners Elizabeth Warren, who polled at 19 per cent, and Bernie Sanders, who was on 16 per cent.

SSRS surveyed 1,003 people over three days in October; 352 were called on a landline and 651 responded via mobile phone.

South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg and California Senator Kamala Harris each received 6 per cent, and Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar and former Texas Congressman Beto O'Rourke each polled at 3 per cent.

The Vermont senator has announced that he will be running again in 2020 after losing out to Hilary Clinton in the 2016 Democratic primaries. He intends to run on a similar platform of democratic socialist reform
The former vice president - poised to be a frontrunner - has announced his run. He recently faced scrutiny for inappropriate touching of women, but was thought to deal with the criticism well
The Massachusetts Senator has formally launched her bid for president in 2020. A progressive Democrat, she is a major supporter of regulating Wall Street.
The New York mayor announced his bid on 16 May 2019. He emerged in 2013 as a leading voice in the left wing of his party but has struggled to build a national profile and has suffered a number of political setbacks in his time as mayor
The Indiana mayor and war veteran will be running for president. If elected, he would be the first openly LGBT+ president in American history
The former Texas congressman formally launched his bid for the presidency in March. He intends to run on a progressive platform, stating that the US is driven by "gross differences in opportunity and outcome"
The Montana governor announced his bid on 14 May. He stated "We need to defeat Donald Trump in 2020 and defeat the corrupt system that lets campaign money drown out the people's voice, so we can finally make good on the promise of a fair shot for everyone." He also highlighted the fact that he won the governor's seat in a red [Republican] state
The New Jersey Senator has announced that he will be running for the presidency in 2020. If he secures the nomination he said finding a female vice president would be a priority
Mayor of the city of Miramar in the Miami metropolitan area, Wayne Messam has announced his bid. He intends to run on a progressive platform against the "broken" federal government. He favours gun regulations and was a signatory to a letter from some 400 mayors condemning President Trump's withdrawal from the Paris Climate Accord
The New York Senator formally announced her presidential bid in January, saying that “healthcare should be a right, not a privilege”
The former California attorney general will be running for president in 2020. Introduced to the national stage during Jeff Sessions’ testimony, she has endorsed Medicare-for-all and proposed a major tax-credit for the middle class
The Maryland congressman was the first to launch his bid for presidency, making the announcement in 2017
The Hawaii congresswoman announced her candidacy in January, but is likely to face tough questions on her past comments on LGBT+ rights and her stance on Syrian President Bashar al-Assad
The entrepreneur has announced his presidential candidacy, and has pledged that he would introduce a universal basic income of $1,000 a month to every American over the age of 18
The former San Antonio mayor announced his candidacy in January and said that his running has a “special meaning” for the Latino community in the US
The author and spiritual adviser has announced her intention to run for president. She had previously run for congress as an independent in 2014 but was unsuccessful
One of the younger candidates, Swalwell has served on multiple committees in the House of Representatives. He intends to make gun control central to his campaign
A Massachusetts congressman, Moulton is a former US soldier who is best known for trying to stop Nancy Pelosi from becoming speaker of the house
Klobuchar is a Minnesota senator who earned praise for her contribution to the Brett Kavanaugh hearings
Inslee has been governor of Washington since 2013. His bid centres around climate change
The former governor of Colorado is running on a sensible ticket. He aims to sell himself as an effective leader who is open to compromise and evidences this with his experience as governor
Ohio representative Tim Ryan will be running a campaign that hinges on his working class roots

According to the SSRI poll, published on Wednesday, the centrist-leaning former vice-president is receiving most of his support among moderate and conservative Democrats, up from 29 per cent in September to 43 per cent in October, and nonwhite voters, who spiked their support from 28 per cent to 42 per cent within the last month.

Support for Mr Biden among older voters — people aged 45 and older — also shot up 13 points from September to 43 per cent. He remains the most popular candidate among voters aged 65 and older, at 39 per cent, while Mr Sanders carries 26 per cent of the vote among voters aged 18-49.

When asked which candidates are best suited to handle six critical issues, a majority of survey respondents picked Mr Biden among four of those issues. He falls short in health care, where Mr Sanders polled at 28 per cent.

But Mr Biden is leading among candidates when it comes to foreign policy (56 per cent) and the economy (38 per cent). He also is matched by Mr Sanders at 26 per cent for addressing the climate crisis; both candidates polled at 19 per cent in June.

Mr Biden's spike arrives as Congress pursues its impeachment probe into President Donald Trump, who asked Ukraine for damaging information on the former vice-president as part of a so-called "quid pro quo" in exchange for security aid. Mr Biden's son Hunter Biden was on the board of a Ukrainian energy company while Mr Biden was serving as vice-president under President Barack Obama.

When it comes to whether the candidates can defeat Mr Trump in 2020, voters surveyed gave the Democratic frontrunners a significant advantage over the president in hypothetical match-ups. Respondents said Mr Biden could win by 10 points at 53 per cent with Mr Trump at 43 per cent, while Mr Sanders tops Mr Trump by nine points (52 per cent to 43 per cent) and Ms Warren by eight points (52 per cent to 44 per cent).

The SSRS survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.7 per cent.

The survey results follow Emerson Polling's Tuesday results, which showed Mr Biden in a close race at 27 per cent compared to Mr Sanders at 25 per cent. 

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In that poll's hypothetical match-ups between the candidates and Mr Trump, the president trails Mr Biden, Mr Sanders and Ms Warren, with the Democrats at 51 per cent and Mr Trump at 49 per cent.


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